$200m (+30m) sen unec CB coming tomorrow night from C/MS. Terms: 5y, 5-5½% up 22½-27½%, 4y S/C @ 160%, full pctns. UOP=gcp. No brw, this is a directional play on natural gas infrastructure.
Built ~25% n/gas stations w/multiple users;UPS (all’14 HD truck purchases=NGV),AT&T,P&G (20% trucks=NG by YE15),Ryder. Kenworth predicts NGVs=4-5% of HD trucks in ’13. Key risk is if co falls behind station construction (proceeds of CB & CHK p/ship vital).
Upside scenario=continuing trend of commerical NG take up & Co staying ahead of build out schedule. To achieve that requires 2014/15 capex of 163/160m (CB will fund that). Brw makes model irrelevant. Comes down to whether you believe this story or not.
2012/13 eqty performance=lacklustre but is this the future ?