***************** JEFFERIES CB NEW ISSUE COLOR: ARCP ***********
$300m (+30m) sen unsec cb coming tonight from JPM/CITI. Terms: 5y 2½-3% up 20-25, full pctns. UOP=repay sec/line & gcp.Commercial REIT based in 48 states + PR. 2 key events ytd; Acq GE p/folio in June & LSE acq 4 $8.50/share in cash ($1.8bn). A fast growing & acq company w/1 YE14 EBITDA estimate ~$400m. PFcash=474m, debt =1.65bn, LTMebitda=52m. We’d assume L+400 (see CREDIT COLOR).ADV =1.7bn & no leaps. S/term vol has picked up given acqs but DDR 1.75% ~ 21iv (2.3y/hedgeble) & SLG 3% sub 20iv (4.2y/BB+ rated).
We’ll be generous and use 22% (PLD 3¼%=2.7y, IG rated o/r name in UBS index so cannot compare at all). Theo=94.5/95.5/96.5. The more aggressive L+300 assumption=99.5 on cheap end. Could be an interesting growth story question pricing.
Cap Structure (PF 3/31/13)
Cash 474mm Mortgage Debt 265mm
Unsec Credit Fac. 640mm
Cvt Pref 445mm
New Cvts 300mm
Total 1650mm
LTM EBITDA 52mm –
ARCP is a REIT focused on free standing commercial properties. As of June 30, they own 1,181 properties in 48 states and Puerto Rico.
– ARCP in the midst of a major transformation. In late June they acquired a portfolio of properties from GE capital. They did a REG D equity and pfd deal to fund it (total proceeds of 896mm). – The also enter into an agreement to buy LSE for 8.50/ share in cash (1.8bn total). This is expected to close in Sept 2013. LSE did 120mm LTM EBITDA.
– This credit is tough to pinpoint given the transformation of the company (market cap was 147mm on 12/31. It’s now 2.3bn). Only 2 equity analysts follow the company and one thinks ARCP will do 400mm of EBITDA in 2014. If that is the case this will be a strong credit. But there is a lot of operational risk to get there. It also appears the company will need to tap the capital markets again before year end. – OUR ASSIGNED SPREAD IS L+400